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Mountain Forecast – Issued Thursday 4th February  2010


Cloudy, becoming mostly dry


General Outlook:


The weather takes a bit of a breather this weekend, before the next spell of wintry stuff arrives ....  An area of low pressure moves east across the south of England on Saturday, with a front bringing rain and low cloud to southern parts for a time, whilst a front across Scotland will produce some patchy light snow and sleet in the Highlands.  Both fronts should die off later on Saturday.  In between, North Wales, Northern England, the Southern Uplands and Northern Ireland look likely to be dry throughout with probably the best chance of some sunshine in the west. Not especially warm but certainly not as cold as it's been of late.  High pressure building to the north early next week looks set to introduce colder air and some snow from the east as winter returns.

Likely to be another busy weekend at all ski resorts with no access problems expected

The weekend in Detail:

Saturday 6th February:

Low pressure moving east across southern counties of England will bring rain and low cloud to the SW Moors and South Wales, especially first thing - rain tending to die out from the west through the morning.  Rather windy with gales over summits.   A front across northern Scotland also bringing some patchy precipitation - mainly sleet or snow, especially above 1,500ft - with cloud levels below summits.  This too dying out through the day, especially across western parts.   All other upland areas - N Wales, N England, S Scotland and N Ireland in for a relatively quiet day, though rather cloudy with most higher summits likely to be obscured.  Snowdonia and the Lake District looking best for clearer summits at times and maybe some sunshine.  Strong, mostly southerly, winds over summits easing through the afternoon and tending to become light and variable at lower levels.  Temperature mostly close to average for February.


Sunday 7th February:

Low pressure to the west looks unlikely to make much progress eastwards, but may bring some thicker cloud and rain to southwestern parts of Ireland and maybe Cornwall.  Otherwise a quiet day across all parts.  Frosty in places to start and temperatures down on Saturday, so feeling rather cold, especially where under leaden skies.  Still the occasional sleet or snow possible in the Eastern Highlands, but otherwise dry but mostly cloudy.  Although some breaks possible in western parts at times cloud base generally around 2,500ft with also some low mist and fog patches lingering in places.  Winds tending to be moderate and variable in direction, though still strong southerly in the far west, especially over Ireland.


Further Outlook:

Model output has been very varied of late, but the pattern now emerging is for high pressure to build to the north of Britain, and perhaps ridge down over the country.  This blocking the eastwards progress of any Atlantic depressions.  Colder air off the Continent likely to push in through the week and with it always the risk of some snow, especially towards eastern coasts.  Likely to be quite frosty at night and through the day temperatures once again below average, though pleasant where sunny (this more likely the further west you are - so much of Wales for example should see a good week).  Risk of snow showers increases through the week, especially over the northern half of the country and some further accumulations likely over most hills.

Avalanche forecasts
for the North Cairngorms, South Cairngorms, Lochaber, Creag Meagaidh and Glencoe are now available from SAIS

For the latest daily weather update covering most upland regions of Britain,  more please visit The Mountain Weather Information Service website provided by Geoff Monk.

Met Office Mountain Forecasts are also available for the Highlands, Lake District, Peak District and Wales.

Note: this is a personal interpretation of likely weather conditions on the UK hills and is intended for general guidance purposes only. Local conditions may vary and changes may occur suddenly and without warning. Extreme caution should always be exercised when venturing into the hills

TOI 10.30 GMT  –  4th February 2010

Forecast by Andy Mayhew

Ukww Disclaimer:- The user assumes the entire risk related to its use of this data. UKww (UK Weatherworld) is providing this data "as is" and UKww disclaims any and all warranties, whether express or implied, including (without limitation) any implied warranties of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose. In no event will UKww be liable to you or to any third party or any direct, indirect, incidental, consequential, special or exemplary damages or lost profit resulting from any use or misuse of this data


Our thanks to Andy Mayhew of the Mountain Bothy Association (MBA) and UKww for giving us kind permission to use this forecast. 
 
Mountain Bothy Association http://www.mountainbothies.org.uk/